Online education. How does it affect the market?

Question

IT education

I think I'm not the only one who got fed up with the courses of all sorts of platforms and companies that offer to learn a new profession in demand in a couple of days and get 150 thousand per second without doing anything. Of course, there are also good tutorials. But now is not about that. I would like to know how all this affects the personnel market in it areas. Is it worth it to worry that soon there will be too many of us and everything will turn into a classic freelance exchange, where 1,500 people for one project for a couple of bucks, or are there more favorable prospects for all of us? Perhaps there are heads of human resources departments here, how does all this affect you and your companies? How about ordinary developers, designers, marketers and other IT staff?

Answer 1

It has become more difficult to hire juniors, since you have to shovel 100 applicants and weed out 99 useless victims of courses for the sake of one sensible one who studied at a university or independently from textbooks. Otherwise, no effect.

Answer 2

Is it worth it to worry that soon there will be too many of us and everything will turn into a classic freelance exchange, where 1,500 people for one project for a couple of bucks, or are there more favorable prospects for all of us?
They say that in order to understand what will happen, you need to know what happened. Just take examples from the past and apply them to today's realities. And not the last 3-5-10 years, but a little deeper.
Here are some realities for you. Early 20th century. To assemble or repair a car, you need to be a highly qualified mechanical engineer, with a huge amount of knowledge. Today, the profession has stratified into an automotive engineer who designs new cars somewhere at Ford or Volkswagen and Uncle Vasya in the nearest garage or service station, repairing cars using a sledgehammer and an adjustable wrench.
At the beginning of the 20th century, at any plant, the second person after the director is not an accountant, as it seems to us, this is an electrician - a highly qualified engineer capable of supporting uninterrupted independent (!!) generation of electricity at his own power plant (and there was no centralized one in principle), its transfer to the place of consumption, safe and efficient use, repair of the latest electrical equipment for those times - from a light bulb to a machine tool, etc. And today? Even the chief power engineer at the plant is not at all a figure of the forefront, but I’m not even talking about an ordinary electrician - he doesn’t have a higher education - God forbid that he graduated from a specialized vocational school. But he will screw in the light bulb and even find and fix a break in the wiring - very skillfully.
The same picture with a plumber - there are people who are able to design a complex hydraulic structure, and there is a ZhEK plumber who "change the gasket and clean it out."
The cool "electronic engineer" of the 50s or 60s is today stratified into the one who creates quantum computers and the one who, in the TV repair shop around the corner, fixes the trash that is being dragged to him.
And so it is in many professions. Including doctors. Most likely - this is some "universal regularity in the development of professions." Why should the programming profession be an exception? I found still times when a person who knows a couple of operators in the ALGOL or FORTRAN programming language (about Assembler -
generally silent) was considered a cool specialist who was ready to be hired in any organization. And outside the USSR - also for very decent money. Then there were more and more such specialists. And began - at first not very noticeable, but nevertheless - stratification. Programming is poorly studied at school, so knowledge of a programming language or two is not a criterion for coolness. And not the way up. Already today, the salary of a programmer in civilized countries is not much different from the salary of an economist, teacher or employee. Everything will come to this with time and with us. In addition, the very “stratification” of the specialty will definitely happen into a minority of those who will really have deep, fundamental knowledge and remain in top positions, and into the vast majority of those who proudly name themselves " school education model 2030). For money that will allow you to live a normal life, but definitely will not elevate to the group of those whose income will differ significantly from the average for working professions in the country. school education model 2030). For money that will allow you to live a normal life, but definitely will not elevate to the group of those whose income will differ significantly from the average for working professions in the country.
Where each of today's newcomers will end up depends only on him. I am sure that all sorts of courses, video tutorials and "become a programmer in 5 days" enticements are the way there, to the future "laborers" from programming. What you need to do to get into the "top" is another topic, but the path to that group is definitely not easy, not simple and not fast. And let's be honest, it's not for everyone.
All of the above is my personal opinion and my personal understanding of the trends in the development of the profession for the next 20-30 years. And I perfectly understand that someone will have their own opinion based on their own life and professional experience. Therefore, I express it only for those who are interested.