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Maxim2017-08-21 15:30:44
Machine learning
Maxim, 2017-08-21 15:30:44

How to choose a model from three approximately equal in ROC?

Classification problem. Trained three models Random Forest, XGBoost, CatBoost. All three models show approximately equal ROC and Accuracy, but at the output I need probabilities, not a predicted class, and here problems arise. For example, on one of the model samples, the probabilities xgb: 0.38, fr: 0.22, catboost: 0.31 are given. As you can see, the spread is decent. Can these probabilities be averaged? What techniques are commonly used? As far as I understand, it is necessary to test the model on combat data and the one that gives the best result in terms of EV, for example, choose that model as the final one?

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2 answer(s)
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Sergey, 2017-08-21
@begemot_sun

In general, now the trend is to combine models.
A panel of experts works better than each individual expert.
Get rid of this dogma.

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xdgadd, 2017-08-21
@xdgadd

Google stacking and bagging.

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