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Kaggle, Titanic contest. Test Accuracy 0.87, leaderboard 0.75 why?
I'm training a model in R with caret. Divided the data into training and test sets (80/20). Trained the model using repeated cross-validation 5x10. Got a cross-validation prediction accuracy of around 0.85 with a standard deviation of around 0.02. Then I applied the model on the test set and got the accuracy: 0.8701, 95% CI : (0.8114, 0.9158). How is it that the predictions on the test set and cross-validation tell me that in the worst case I will get an accuracy in the region of 0.80, and when I load the solution I get 0.75? This situation occurs with three models: Random Forest, CatBoost and XGBoost. It turns out that the training sample and the test sample are different populations? Then what's the point of the competition?
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heh dude, if the training and test sets were the same, then you could just load the answers from the training set into the test and not fool around, getting a 100% correct result.
the meaning of the competition is to learn how to build a model that works in the GENERAL case, for any data examples.
P.S.
you fit your model to your test data, as a result, if the results on other test data are much worse, then this only means that you refitted your model to your test data, and it works worse in the general case.
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