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c30372016-02-10 22:37:12
Mathematics
c3037, 2016-02-10 22:37:12

How to find the probability of getting a continuous series for a certain number of trials?

Find the probability that among 420 coin tosses there can be at least one series of 7 continuous heads.
The probability of falling heads is 50%.

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3 answer(s)
A
Alexey Prikazchikov, 2016-02-11
@alexprik07

Remembering the university course, maybe it's worth looking at the sequence of tests according to the Bernoulli scheme?

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goandkill, 2016-02-11
@goandkill

0.5 x 0.5 x 0.5 x 0.5 x 0.5 x 0.5 x 0.5 =
0.7%

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dzzirtuoz, 2016-02-19
@dzzirtuoz

goandkill answered correctly, but not completely correct. 0.7% is the probability of a streak if we have only one attempt per streak in total. But attempts to make a series of eagles are 414. Not 420 for the reason that if we get tails on the 414th attempt, we already lose the opportunity to make a series of heads, since there are only 6 throws left. So, the correct answer is 0.7% x 414 = 289.8%

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