How do you see the future of the Russian-speaking IT community (>3 years)?

Question

Habr

Programmers, layout designers, designers, system administrators, and just geeks - everyone notices changes in Runet, sometimes implicit, sometimes flashy.
Roskomnadzor, censorship, p2p, dpi , i2p, crazy printer .
Headlines of articles are full of these words for a year and a half.
How do you think the part of the Russian Internet that actively discusses advanced technologies, piracy, legislation, freedom of speech and simply the future of the Internet will change?
I thought about the question in the light of recent events on Habré, but it is the one that worries me most in terms of maintaining cleanliness and sanity on the resource.

In addition

"Habr is not a place for discussion"

Но очень надеюсь, что ресурс не прогнётся и годы спустя мы будем видеть комментарии "Хабр всё ещё торт!".
Вспомнился пост.

Answer 1

In my opinion, these are temporary phenomena, especially piracy, as long as there are paid programs, trial versions of which can be downloaded, there will be those in Russia who will hack them. Not for self-interest, but for sporting interest only, and with a clear conscience they will lay it out in the public domain. If the Germans at the gene level have responsibility and scrupulousness for work, then the Russian person also has a hatred for restrictions, he will not go against it for the sake of profit, but for the idea of ​​​​free access, and why should only the elite use a program that costs 200 things?! Maybe the boy from the next floor has a talent for 3D modeling, but he cannot buy a program, since 200 tr. his mother earns in a year, and I will break this bourgeois softina keygenchik prishpandoryu and throw off the link to the boy, let him develop. This is my take on piracy. As for censorship, it depends on what is considered under this, if I am definitely in favor of banning child pornography on the network, but I doubt that the ban will help. And if the gentlemen of the legislators want me to ask them for permission what I should read, publish, discuss, There is an interesting story on this topic based on real events, one governor of one region once said that it was necessary to tax the income of prostitutes, this was published in the local media, and a week later, an article by a local observer appeared stating that collecting money from prostitutes is interpreted as collecting tribute, is equated with pimping and is subject to criminal liability, the governor shut up, so our legislators no longer know what to think of and what to rip off the loot from, but what they want attempting to subjugate the Internet is commendable but not feasible.

Answer 2

It will be the same as the West and the United States now. In the Russian Federation, the IT community is developing with a lag of about 5 years