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kousokuya2014-02-18 00:27:59
Probability theory
kousokuya, 2014-02-18 00:27:59

What is the probability of answering 12 out of 14 questions correctly if there are 4 options in each question?

What is the probability of answering 12 out of 14 questions correctly if there are 4 options in each question?
Advised to apply the Bernoulli formula. But I didn't get it.

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2 answer(s)
R
Rsa97, 2014-02-18
@Rsa97

pythys7.png
Exactly 12 questions out of 14
n = 14, k = 12, p = 1/4 = 0.25
P 12.14 = 91*0.25 12 *0.75 2 = 3.051*10 -6
At least 12 out of 14
P = P 12 .14 ​​+ P 13.14 + P 14.14 = 3.209 * 10 -6
But this is if you don’t know anything at all and answer by random selection of an answer.

D
Darsatan, 2014-02-18
@Darsatan

p = 0.25, q = 0.75
P = 91 * 0.25 ^ 12 * 0.75 ^ 2
If I'm not mistaken, it turns out to be about 0.000003

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