Is it possible to calculate the winning odds based only on the elapsed time and the previous odds?

Question

Mathematics

Hello, I'm sorry for what might be a stupid question. I am writing an API for interacting with the Bookmaker.
Initially, the coefficients will be set by the moderator for each match, it is not known by what formula.
I only have the odds and the elapsed time since the start of the match at the time of the goal from either side. And the task is to determine new coefficients for the victory of each of the teams and a draw based on the available data.
Is this possible at all or is there not enough input? I would be very grateful if you could tell me which way to dig.

Answer 1

Google about Bayes formula. It is precisely for this that is needed - the adjustment of probabilities when an event occurs. The question arises as to what to consider as events and what probabilities to attribute to them. Here you will need to experiment.
It is very good if you have a set of data from all the past games, this will help to correctly set up the model and analyze its effectiveness.

Answer 2

Not enough!

Answer 3

Dig in the direction of finding dependencies between the accumulated data.

Answer 4

I don't think it can be counted.
I've been into betting for a while, and I've been pretty good at it. While betting live, I noticed a certain pattern.
With the help of this pattern, I was able to raise good money. For example: from 1300 rubles I made more than 30000 rubles in 11 days.
Or from 150 rubles in about 16 days I made 6000 rubles.
And from 1000₽ for 7 days 9000₽.
But emotionally it was hard and I decided to remove the human factors (fatigue, lack of time, lack of mood, etc.)
I decided to write a program that would make bets according to this pattern. Since I am far from programming and there is no knowledge in this part. Sat down to figure it out. I even managed to write part of the program. But having reached a certain point, I realized that I could not figure it out. After I realized that I could not figure it out, I found a person who could help me. He undertook to write the rest of the program, but never finished, as he was a busy and family man, and he wrote it to me in his spare time.
Why am I?
I have experience in betting, not huge, but there. There is little experience in writing programs. And I also know the pattern that once allowed me to turn 1300 rubles into 30,000 rubles. I don't know how relevant this is now, but you can check.
I want to share this knowledge with you. Maybe you will be able to implement the one that did not work for me.
If there are screenshots of rates (statistics) to prove that this is all true.
If you are interested, then let me know https://t.me/Kirill_S63