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How to determine the probability of two coefficients?
If team A has X past win odds (eg: 2.5)
If team B has Y past win odds (eg: 3.7)
How do you get the probability (between 0 and 1) that A wins?
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No way.
The team "Arkharovtsi" from Nizhny Kukuev has a past win rate of 10.
The team "Atletico" from Madrid has a past win rate of 8.
What are the chances of Arkharovtsy winning?
past win rate
R = x/(x+1)
. Rx=71%
, Ry=79%
. Px=Rx(1-Ry)=16%
, Py=23%
. In general, no way.
The first reason was pointed out here: perhaps they had different opponents.
The second reason: it happens that the system is arranged as "rock-paper-scissors", i.e. if team A won against team X and team B lost against team X, then it does not follow that team A will win against team B.
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