Are high prices for video cards with us forever?

Question

Cryptocurrency

Hello.

Silly question, but sick.

Cryptomining on video cards with us forever?
After all, is he the main reason for the rise in prices for video cards (and the shortage of chips, but there is a connection)?

That is, in the next 5-7 years, you need to count on 50,000 rubles for an average video card?

Answer 1

The shortage of chips is connected not only with the demand for video cards.
Still, an order for chips is made much in advance, and one conditional Nvidia cannot eat up all the power.
And the prices for video cards will normalize when a couple of "simple" issues are resolved:
1. The mass lockdown will end
2. TSMC and other factories will expand their capacities by a factor of two to cover all demand.
3. States will massively ban mining or cryptocurrencies in general
4. All cryptocurrencies will refuse PoW, and those who have not refused will scam.
5. The market will stop working as it does, and the monopolists will decide to cut prices.

Answer 2

In order for average video cards to cease to be relevant for cryptomining, it is necessary that the requirements for this mining grow, for example, RAM.
The popular cryptocurrency that is being mined (and since its rate has risen, it could be blamed for this) is ethereum, for several years now its developers have been postponing the 'launch' of the mechanism for stopping mining (difficulty bomb) that was pre-installed in it, and in the 'best In this case, the consumption of gpu RAM is growing, for the air it is already more than 4GB, game developers are not in a hurry to raise the requirements, so we can hope to offer 4Gb video cards in the near future.
For those who want to play with large neural networks (or other gpgpu calculations), cry big tears for a long time.